USDT目前似乎有點風險?? - 數位貨幣
By Vanessa
at 2021-05-22T13:21
at 2021-05-22T13:21
Table of Contents
我是個初入幣圈的新人超小奈米戶,目前都是在幣安上投資的一點點BTC(約佔70%)、eth
、ada、xrp、doge的現貨,歷經帳面數字小賺到目前套牢中,本來還有shib,不過之前看
情況不對就直接認賠+損失點手續費轉成ada了,只是後來ada也持續下跌就是了,還好預
期這筆錢要放在幣市最少兩年,錢丟下去之前也知道幣圈漲跌幅度一日翻漲或是腰斬都不
是新鮮事,所以心態暫時沒有崩潰XD
進場前到現在有空就查詢閱讀一些幣圈的過往文章以及一些影片,因為目前幣圈的主流交
易的計價單位應該是USDT,所以我針對USDT找了一下介紹影片,其中主要是看這個對USDT
簡介的影片
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QZF2WSN0yN4
然後還有一些關於USDT的風險評論文章
https://blockcast.it/2021/02/08/everything-you-need-to-know-about-usdt/
https://www.blocktempo.com/is-usdt-the-biggest-trouble-in-crypto-market/
https://news.cnyes.com/news/id/4562547
https://www.blocktempo.com/tether-bitfinex-settlement-takeaways/
我個人的觀點是我不信任USDT以及bitfinex,因為人性以及泰達的過往紀錄,而且目前各
大交易所幾乎都在提供槓桿交易以及一些衍生性金融商品,幾乎可以篤定這絕對會造成市
場上的USDT量大於USDT的發行量,這應該是一種"被動"的USDT超發,所以我之前都是直接
用信用卡買現貨,這會導致只能買當下的時價,但我也不是短期操作,投入金額很小預計
持有2年+定期定額投入加上相信BTC會破10萬美,也就不在乎這點差異了。
然後今天早上看到這個對岸發佈的影片,標題蠻聳動的
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qgo5YMwGWjY&t=1009s
點進去看了以後,一些觀點類的東西我就不贅述了,但其中提到的一個關鍵更加深我對
bitfinex以及tether的不信任感,這個點就是當usdt對usd貶值時,bitfinex上的
btc/usd(注意,是usd不是usdt)報價會明顯大幅高過coinbase上的報價,這其中的貓膩真
的很值得讓人玩味。
個人結論:
1.我不認為USDT短期內會大幅崩盤,但確實是需要注意一下,長期來看USDT很可能會因為
發行方高層的騷操作以及市場的槓桿化加大導致的被動超發,因而無法矛定美元最終像當
初的美元跟黃金脫鉤一樣發生USDT與USD脫鉤。
2.這個狀況不只存在於USDT,目前所有主流的穩定幣或多或少都有一樣的問題,程度大小
不同而已。
3.這波暴跌各大交易所都無法交易,雖然我之前在某篇的推文說不論是被動的server無法
負荷還是主動的交易所刻意關閉外部入金管道,在那個當下對受害者來說結果都一樣,但
其實還是有不一樣的點,前者可以靠投入資金升級硬體來克服,後者就反應出交易所營運
方的人格特質以及經營心態,有這一次,後面就還會有無數次,直到交易所關閉,所以目
前我也開始尋找幣安以外的交易所,只是我不會考慮bitfinex
4.我個人需要去查詢瞭解不用USDT轉回台灣交易所出金的話,有什麼其他新台幣出金的方
式。
以上是我個人目前對USDT的一點看法,然後分享一首曲子,這反應了我目前對幣市的看法
-現況持續不明,但終將迎來爆點
https://music.youtube.com/watch?v=v1wWIcAg_zI&feature=share
--
最後有大佬可以推薦一下tradingview以外的幣圈的看盤軟體嗎?
--
、ada、xrp、doge的現貨,歷經帳面數字小賺到目前套牢中,本來還有shib,不過之前看
情況不對就直接認賠+損失點手續費轉成ada了,只是後來ada也持續下跌就是了,還好預
期這筆錢要放在幣市最少兩年,錢丟下去之前也知道幣圈漲跌幅度一日翻漲或是腰斬都不
是新鮮事,所以心態暫時沒有崩潰XD
進場前到現在有空就查詢閱讀一些幣圈的過往文章以及一些影片,因為目前幣圈的主流交
易的計價單位應該是USDT,所以我針對USDT找了一下介紹影片,其中主要是看這個對USDT
簡介的影片
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QZF2WSN0yN4
然後還有一些關於USDT的風險評論文章
https://blockcast.it/2021/02/08/everything-you-need-to-know-about-usdt/
https://www.blocktempo.com/is-usdt-the-biggest-trouble-in-crypto-market/
https://news.cnyes.com/news/id/4562547
https://www.blocktempo.com/tether-bitfinex-settlement-takeaways/
我個人的觀點是我不信任USDT以及bitfinex,因為人性以及泰達的過往紀錄,而且目前各
大交易所幾乎都在提供槓桿交易以及一些衍生性金融商品,幾乎可以篤定這絕對會造成市
場上的USDT量大於USDT的發行量,這應該是一種"被動"的USDT超發,所以我之前都是直接
用信用卡買現貨,這會導致只能買當下的時價,但我也不是短期操作,投入金額很小預計
持有2年+定期定額投入加上相信BTC會破10萬美,也就不在乎這點差異了。
然後今天早上看到這個對岸發佈的影片,標題蠻聳動的
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qgo5YMwGWjY&t=1009s
bitfinex以及tether的不信任感,這個點就是當usdt對usd貶值時,bitfinex上的
btc/usd(注意,是usd不是usdt)報價會明顯大幅高過coinbase上的報價,這其中的貓膩真
的很值得讓人玩味。
個人結論:
1.我不認為USDT短期內會大幅崩盤,但確實是需要注意一下,長期來看USDT很可能會因為
發行方高層的騷操作以及市場的槓桿化加大導致的被動超發,因而無法矛定美元最終像當
初的美元跟黃金脫鉤一樣發生USDT與USD脫鉤。
2.這個狀況不只存在於USDT,目前所有主流的穩定幣或多或少都有一樣的問題,程度大小
不同而已。
3.這波暴跌各大交易所都無法交易,雖然我之前在某篇的推文說不論是被動的server無法
負荷還是主動的交易所刻意關閉外部入金管道,在那個當下對受害者來說結果都一樣,但
其實還是有不一樣的點,前者可以靠投入資金升級硬體來克服,後者就反應出交易所營運
方的人格特質以及經營心態,有這一次,後面就還會有無數次,直到交易所關閉,所以目
前我也開始尋找幣安以外的交易所,只是我不會考慮bitfinex
4.我個人需要去查詢瞭解不用USDT轉回台灣交易所出金的話,有什麼其他新台幣出金的方
式。
以上是我個人目前對USDT的一點看法,然後分享一首曲子,這反應了我目前對幣市的看法
-現況持續不明,但終將迎來爆點
https://music.youtube.com/watch?v=v1wWIcAg_zI&feature=share
--
最後有大佬可以推薦一下tradingview以外的幣圈的看盤軟體嗎?
--
Tags:
數位貨幣
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