加密貨幣閒聊區 Bitcoin誕生十周年 - 數位貨幣

By Sierra Rose
at 2019-01-20T19:44
at 2019-01-20T19:44
Table of Contents
2009年1月3日是比特幣創始區塊的誕生日。
十年後的今天,比特幣已經從純粹的笑話變成各國政府正視的議題。
各個利益集團也都在覬覦比特幣這塊利益大餅,甚至是Core研發者本身也如此。
雖然很不想這樣說,但Core已經要把比特幣的網路效應讓位給閃電網路。
BTC的主鏈不再是網路效應的唯一,閃電網路下面可以是LTC, Liquid, Grin。
"比特幣可以創造金流網際網路,並且把世界的金流統合為一"
這種純真想法可以丟到垃圾筒裡了,中本聰的理想成為泡影。
失去網路效應的比特幣其實有很多的不足,雖然不會馬上覆滅。
但就像是IE這個預設瀏覽器一樣,市占率漸漸地被後起之秀蠶食鯨吞。
那就來談談"後比特幣"時代好了。
其實回到現實來看,商家不想接受加密貨幣的主要因素還是在於匯率不穩定。
雖然作為資深Bitcoiner的想法,這問題就丟給支付處理商去及時結算處理就好。
譬如BitPay和Coinbase都支援將加密貨幣用即時匯率清算成法幣。
但是Core覺得這些支付處理商不支援閃電網路就是爛,這樣根本不是P2P Cash。
所以在純粹P2P形式的支付金流方面,只能放棄BTC,改用穩定幣了。
譬如OpenBazzar這個世界最大的徹底去中心化的網路市集
就把DAI這個穩定幣列為ERC-20支援的首要目標。
https://twitter.com/drwasho/status/1053510554025775106
隨著技術發展,穩定幣也不像早期的中心化USD token,是個純粹中心化的代幣。
而是去中心化、使用運作在區塊鏈上的演算法去維持匯率穩定的代幣。
https://goo.gl/t96qpC
不光是DAI,也有其他的去中心化穩定幣在發展,譬如Havven, Terra。
在未來,這些穩定幣也會更進化,可以不光是錨定於USD,
也可以錨定於多重具避險性質的法幣。
甚至是直接錨定於一些物價指數的組成成分,真正的去法幣化,更接近於加密貨幣的理想。
另外一方面,加密貨幣的剛性需求來自於網路地下交易。那麼匿蹤交易就是第一重點。
但是因為使用複雜的簽章技術,導致一般交易的大小達到BTC數十倍以上。
就算是用了bullet-proof,一筆交易大小仍高達3kb。
而通常這些社群對於自己運作完整節點也會有堅持。
在難以直接擴容下,也使得匿蹤幣也難以大量普及使用。
這也就是為什麼MimbleWimble技術的匿蹤幣會這麼受到矚目。
https://github.com/mimblewimble/grin/blob/master/doc/intro.zh-cn.md
它具有交易聚合的性質,符合的input和output可以被刪去,留下kernel_excess
使得區塊鏈的大小可以大幅縮小,讓匿蹤幣的擴容可能性甚至超越一般加密貨幣。
但我認為一個真正更有趣的可能性是一種具有去中心化和匿蹤性質的可擴容穩定幣。
這將是政府和央行最懼怕的完美現金。
比特幣和大部分的加密貨幣都無法匿蹤,所以對於政府監管並不會造成太大困擾。
而匿蹤幣因為匯率不穩定,只要把中心化交易所掐著,就可大大降低效用。
最直接的想法,譬如DAI配合MimbleWimble當作側鏈。
這樣就可以兼具兩者性質,達成完美現金。
完美現金一但誕生,將可以直接取代"法幣",完美的Store of Value, Means of exchange
而不像現在,需眾多的交易所提供流動性,或是支付處理商來提供及時結算避免匯率波動。
當然我不是說這件事情一定會發生,我甚至不希望這件事情發生,
這將會人類社會裡一件極度破壞性的發明和事件。政府將會盡全力抵制。
但熊市終將過去,新一代金流幣王者可能會在下次牛市來臨,大家可以多注意觀察。
而下一代加密貨幣將有可能真正動搖到金融甚至社會體制的運作。
加密"資產"只是個開始,改變人類社會運作才是最終目標。
--
simpleledger:qzsn8qeupph6pf8kyn2x79afff7pygzfvqlf9hzmu9
http://tinyurl.com/y3f9r3wo
Bitcoin: 1GxtyprMfcxE366BDUsg1skQyuAnxktZjc
http://tinyurl.com/y6gtg5zn
Bitcoin Cash: bitcoincash:qzsn8qeupph6pf8kyn2x79afff7pygzfvqnjwvhmzm
http://tinyurl.com/y2wgj642
Ethereum: 0x4A2B1e35eb64141bbad4C58cB7D79692bC5Dbbc2
http://tinyurl.com/y5kdt5tc
--
十年後的今天,比特幣已經從純粹的笑話變成各國政府正視的議題。
各個利益集團也都在覬覦比特幣這塊利益大餅,甚至是Core研發者本身也如此。
雖然很不想這樣說,但Core已經要把比特幣的網路效應讓位給閃電網路。
BTC的主鏈不再是網路效應的唯一,閃電網路下面可以是LTC, Liquid, Grin。
"比特幣可以創造金流網際網路,並且把世界的金流統合為一"
這種純真想法可以丟到垃圾筒裡了,中本聰的理想成為泡影。
失去網路效應的比特幣其實有很多的不足,雖然不會馬上覆滅。
但就像是IE這個預設瀏覽器一樣,市占率漸漸地被後起之秀蠶食鯨吞。
那就來談談"後比特幣"時代好了。
其實回到現實來看,商家不想接受加密貨幣的主要因素還是在於匯率不穩定。
雖然作為資深Bitcoiner的想法,這問題就丟給支付處理商去及時結算處理就好。
譬如BitPay和Coinbase都支援將加密貨幣用即時匯率清算成法幣。
但是Core覺得這些支付處理商不支援閃電網路就是爛,這樣根本不是P2P Cash。
所以在純粹P2P形式的支付金流方面,只能放棄BTC,改用穩定幣了。
譬如OpenBazzar這個世界最大的徹底去中心化的網路市集
就把DAI這個穩定幣列為ERC-20支援的首要目標。
https://twitter.com/drwasho/status/1053510554025775106
隨著技術發展,穩定幣也不像早期的中心化USD token,是個純粹中心化的代幣。
而是去中心化、使用運作在區塊鏈上的演算法去維持匯率穩定的代幣。
https://goo.gl/t96qpC
不光是DAI,也有其他的去中心化穩定幣在發展,譬如Havven, Terra。
在未來,這些穩定幣也會更進化,可以不光是錨定於USD,
也可以錨定於多重具避險性質的法幣。
甚至是直接錨定於一些物價指數的組成成分,真正的去法幣化,更接近於加密貨幣的理想。
另外一方面,加密貨幣的剛性需求來自於網路地下交易。那麼匿蹤交易就是第一重點。
但是因為使用複雜的簽章技術,導致一般交易的大小達到BTC數十倍以上。
就算是用了bullet-proof,一筆交易大小仍高達3kb。
而通常這些社群對於自己運作完整節點也會有堅持。
在難以直接擴容下,也使得匿蹤幣也難以大量普及使用。
這也就是為什麼MimbleWimble技術的匿蹤幣會這麼受到矚目。
https://github.com/mimblewimble/grin/blob/master/doc/intro.zh-cn.md
它具有交易聚合的性質,符合的input和output可以被刪去,留下kernel_excess
使得區塊鏈的大小可以大幅縮小,讓匿蹤幣的擴容可能性甚至超越一般加密貨幣。
但我認為一個真正更有趣的可能性是一種具有去中心化和匿蹤性質的可擴容穩定幣。
這將是政府和央行最懼怕的完美現金。
比特幣和大部分的加密貨幣都無法匿蹤,所以對於政府監管並不會造成太大困擾。
而匿蹤幣因為匯率不穩定,只要把中心化交易所掐著,就可大大降低效用。
最直接的想法,譬如DAI配合MimbleWimble當作側鏈。
這樣就可以兼具兩者性質,達成完美現金。
完美現金一但誕生,將可以直接取代"法幣",完美的Store of Value, Means of exchange
而不像現在,需眾多的交易所提供流動性,或是支付處理商來提供及時結算避免匯率波動。
當然我不是說這件事情一定會發生,我甚至不希望這件事情發生,
這將會人類社會裡一件極度破壞性的發明和事件。政府將會盡全力抵制。
但熊市終將過去,新一代金流幣王者可能會在下次牛市來臨,大家可以多注意觀察。
而下一代加密貨幣將有可能真正動搖到金融甚至社會體制的運作。
加密"資產"只是個開始,改變人類社會運作才是最終目標。
--
simpleledger:qzsn8qeupph6pf8kyn2x79afff7pygzfvqlf9hzmu9
http://tinyurl.com/y3f9r3wo
Bitcoin: 1GxtyprMfcxE366BDUsg1skQyuAnxktZjc
http://tinyurl.com/y6gtg5zn
Bitcoin Cash: bitcoincash:qzsn8qeupph6pf8kyn2x79afff7pygzfvqnjwvhmzm
http://tinyurl.com/y2wgj642
Ethereum: 0x4A2B1e35eb64141bbad4C58cB7D79692bC5Dbbc2
http://tinyurl.com/y5kdt5tc
--
Tags:
數位貨幣
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