超級不專業估價的tim哥 - 手機討論

By Callum
at 2018-09-12T19:39
at 2018-09-12T19:39
Table of Contents
https://i.imgur.com/t4TBk96.jpg
我說tim哥
沒有人估價像你那樣的啦
一般專家估價都是指定一個標準數值
然後增加標準差 例如數值內正負多少這樣
像蘋果爆料大神的固定一個預測價格做法比較準確
雖然被打臉的機會也提高了 因為沒標準差
但像tim那種估價
阿不就是安排一個價格帶
只要真正價格落在那個價格帶內
你就變成專家
旗艦手機這預測價格帶頂多正負兩三千內
結果tim哥的價格帶標準差竟然還有差到一萬的
看起來就是一種亂槍打鳥總會中的心態
照他這種估價法
那手機版鄉民人人都可以是估價王
--

沒有人估價像你那樣的啦
一般專家估價都是指定一個標準數值
然後增加標準差 例如數值內正負多少這樣
像蘋果爆料大神的固定一個預測價格做法比較準確
雖然被打臉的機會也提高了 因為沒標準差
但像tim那種估價
阿不就是安排一個價格帶
只要真正價格落在那個價格帶內
你就變成專家
旗艦手機這預測價格帶頂多正負兩三千內
結果tim哥的價格帶標準差竟然還有差到一萬的
看起來就是一種亂槍打鳥總會中的心態
照他這種估價法
那手機版鄉民人人都可以是估價王
--
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手機
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